Pre-tourney Rankings
East Carolina
American Athletic
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.4#286
Expected Predictive Rating-6.7#273
Pace70.7#129
Improvement+0.4#166

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#286
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+2.8#55

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#286
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-2.3#285
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2017 347   Coppin St. W 76-50 88%     1 - 0 +6.0 -10.0 -10.0
  Nov 15, 2017 179   Radford L 66-73 37%     1 - 1 -11.0 -2.0 -2.0
  Nov 17, 2017 309   Central Connecticut St. L 68-79 68%     1 - 2 -23.1 -6.1 -6.1
  Nov 20, 2017 300   Cleveland St. W 72-69 64%     2 - 2 -8.2 -5.6 -5.6
  Nov 24, 2017 121   @ Rutgers L 47-61 11%     2 - 3 -8.0 +3.0 +3.0
  Nov 26, 2017 315   N.C. A&T L 81-87 69%     2 - 4 -18.6 -6.3 -6.3
  Nov 30, 2017 236   UNC Wilmington W 93-88 OT 50%     3 - 4 -2.4 -3.7 -3.7
  Dec 02, 2017 350   Delaware St. W 63-57 91%     4 - 4 -16.4 -11.2 -11.2
  Dec 04, 2017 235   Campbell W 69-66 49%     5 - 4 -4.2 -3.6 -3.6
  Dec 18, 2017 313   Charlotte L 50-69 68%     5 - 5 -31.3 -6.2 -6.2
  Dec 21, 2017 311   Grambling St. W 76-68 68%     6 - 5 -4.2 -6.1 -6.1
  Dec 28, 2017 98   @ Tulsa L 53-79 8%     6 - 6 0 - 1 -17.9 +4.0 +4.0
  Dec 31, 2017 104   Central Florida L 39-59 19%     6 - 7 0 - 2 -18.3 +0.8 +0.8
  Jan 03, 2018 259   @ South Florida W 67-65 33%     7 - 7 1 - 2 -0.9 -1.5 -1.5
  Jan 06, 2018 153   @ Connecticut L 65-70 15%     7 - 8 1 - 3 -1.1 +2.0 +2.0
  Jan 11, 2018 19   Wichita St. L 60-95 5%     7 - 9 1 - 4 -23.9 +5.6 +5.6
  Jan 14, 2018 18   Houston L 49-65 5%     7 - 10 1 - 5 -4.8 +5.6 +5.6
  Jan 17, 2018 259   South Florida W 90-52 56%     8 - 10 2 - 5 +29.0 -4.5 -4.5
  Jan 20, 2018 5   @ Cincinnati L 60-86 1%     8 - 11 2 - 6 -5.0 +10.5 +10.5
  Jan 28, 2018 85   @ SMU L 61-86 7%     8 - 12 2 - 7 -15.6 +4.7 +4.7
  Jan 31, 2018 166   Tulane L 69-71 OT 33%     8 - 13 2 - 8 -4.7 -1.4 -1.4
  Feb 03, 2018 135   Memphis W 88-85 OT 28%     9 - 13 3 - 8 +1.7 -0.6 -0.6
  Feb 07, 2018 87   @ Temple L 73-90 7%     9 - 14 3 - 9 -8.0 +4.5 +4.5
  Feb 14, 2018 166   @ Tulane W 82-80 16%     10 - 14 4 - 9 +5.3 +1.6 +1.6
  Feb 18, 2018 153   Connecticut L 80-84 30%     10 - 15 4 - 10 -6.1 -1.0 -1.0
  Feb 21, 2018 85   SMU L 58-77 16%     10 - 16 4 - 11 -15.7 +1.7 +1.7
  Feb 25, 2018 18   @ Houston L 58-109 2%     10 - 17 4 - 12 -33.8 +8.6 +8.6
  Mar 01, 2018 98   Tulsa L 58-72 19%     10 - 18 4 - 13 -12.0 +1.0 +1.0
  Mar 04, 2018 135   @ Memphis L 70-90 13%     10 - 19 4 - 14 -15.2 +2.4 +2.4
  Mar 08, 2018 104   Central Florida L 52-66 13%     10 - 20 -9.3 +2.4 +2.4
Projected Record 10.0 - 20.0 4.0 - 14.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%